Morning Folks
Another winning weekend, a massive price and gamble on Madame De Sevigne who landed it despite track bias again! I managed to get a lumpy bet on at 9’s & 8’s with Bet365.
The drying ground in Longchamp stopped us having a cracking weekend, Almaqam would have won in another stride and had it been genuine soft would have won. He looks a serious horse for next year granted plenty of cut.
I don’t want to keep banging the drum on about these big straight course handicaps but yet again, clerks of the course have no idea with watering on soft ground? The weather has been horrific all year so that’s a factor but these flagship meeting like the Ebor etc are being ruined. We learn about the watering at York, rendering 90% of horses chances useless. The the debacle of Newmarket and you hear yesterday even Redcar are allowing the safety car to drive up the far rail for 5 furlongs on the track!
I have never seen so many front runners winning so something is clearly not right and I see the likes of Pricewise, Kealey, Chapman etc saying exactly the same thing. I pick form and you know I land big winners as I love these races but Akkadian Thunder is a perfect case in point. We were sitting on a cracking value bet, an in form 4 year old, smooth travelling strong finisher (went off 5/1!!) yet the draw, track bias/position rendered him beaten from the start. He didn’t get a clear run a couple of times either but what chance?
Anyway we move on. There is some nice racing on Friday with Newmarket & York starting so I will be back late Thursday afternoon onwards if I can find any selections but will send out an email to update either way.
Speaking of selections, Longchamp hosts some great racing today on ITV3.
I said Friday I am not immersed in the French form but I know our horses inside out and two I like for us today, one that did us a huge turn at a monster price at York, are below. They are both big prices and of course are they up to it against unknown horses but both of them have run very well at this meeting before so I though worth chancing.
2:05 Longchamp
ROGUE LIGHTNING – 1/2 Pt EW @ 28/1 boost Will Hill 4 places, 25/1 4 places generally
4:40 Longchamp
BREEGE – 1/2 Pt EW @ 35/1 boost Will Hill 4 places, 33/1 4 places NORMAL & 888Sport, 28/1 generally