Good Afternoon folks
Form leaves you dumbfounded at times and take a look at what Tom Seagal has written about the start to the flat/massive draw biases and wayward going descriptions. That’s what makes tipping the night before very tough indeed. Magico was disappointing given the Doncaster race (where he should have won) was key with the other three from it 1,2,3 and he was last! Couldn’t fathom it but that’s racing as they say. It looks a tough weekend with the flat only just starting to get into gear so I don’t envisage that may selections but I shall see what I can find.
I like Almaqam as a horse (tipped a couple of times last season) and I definitely feel he is a 4 year old to go to war for us this year but this could be tactical and I think he needs softer ground so left alone at 11/4. Two I do like though are below, the other races are watching briefs for me so nothing further for Friday. Back throughout the day tomorrow for Saturday’s racing.
13:50 Sandown
TILTED KILT – 1/2 Point Each Way @ 10/1 Hills, 9/1 generally
This strapping gelding is much better off with the 2 favourites and indeed had Thunder Wonder behind at Southwell. He came out to bolt up next time so the form looks good. Needs to prove he is good on grass but he is bred by two Guineas winners so this Mile trip on turf should improve him at 3?
William Knight has a cracking record in Sandown handicaps and there is no better jockey around Sandown than Ryan Moore, who has hardly EVER ridden for the yard, so the booking looks significant and if translating his AW form to turf, must go well.
16:45 Sandown
MOON SNIPER – 1/2 Point Each Way @ 33/1 Bet365 4 places, 25/1 Paddy Power 4 places, 20/1 Betfair (may get bigger and better 4 places later when all priced up)
I cannot quite believe that this already consistent horse is the massive outsider in this as there is a lot to recommend him if ready to go off his 287 day break?
Firstly, he was running well over inadequate trips last year, staying on well each time and his superb breeding (by a German Derby winner) suggests he will massively improve for this step up in trip. His best run last year came here which was a cracking effort, beaten into 2nd by Dividend (now rated 96 & favourite for the mile handicap on the card) with Windlord (rated 105 and fav for the Group 3 Classic trial here tomorrow) well beaten. There were also horses now rated in the 90’s behind yet he goes here off just 79 so could be thrown in off that!
The trainer/jockey are in cracking form together and interestingly won this very race 2 years back with a similar sort. A prominent racer, which I like on this ground at this course, as I said if ready to go should no way be that price and well worth chancing come what may.