Good afternoon folks
Close but no Win Cigar at the minute, running well though in tough races!
One more selection for Newbury tomorrow. I have a flight booked 5:30pm this evening so that’s all for now. I may have further bets for Saturday so I will be back in the morning with any/update either way, more to follow later
1:30 Newbury
SURREY MIST– 1/2 Pt Each way @ 27/1 William Hill, 25/1 generally
3:15 Newbury
GREAT MAX– 1/2 Pt Each way @ 27/1 Boost 4 places William Hill, 25/1 4 places generally
We have seen this week, the AMO racing silks have made hay at Newmarket and I am hoping this horse can add to the tally. He was a very classy 2 year old, chasing home horses rate 120 & 114 at Ascot and ultimately his mark paid the price. These are the type I like as they often go missing at 3 then bounce back as a 4 year old. He has won here which is a plus, as is the form of young trainer Alice Haynes, who has had 4 winners (36.36% SR) 5 placers from here last 11 turf runners. Add in the fact retainer jockey Kevin Stott’s sparkling form and his record when used by the which reads 1,1,2 from just 3 runs! Then I thought, although speculative, worth chancing he is off a good mark of 99 and fit to run a big race.
1:50 Ayr
NED TANNER– 1/2 Pt Each way @ 16/1 4 places Skybet, 16/1 generally
This extremely consistent and tough 7 year old looks over priced here IMO, receiving weight from the classier types but this race has thrown up shocks/big priced winners in the past. The small yard of Nick Alexander punches well above his weight given the ammunition he has and produces excellent results with what he has. This must have been this horses long term target as the trainer has a superb 2 year record at the course, especially when booking Sean Quinlan who is an eye-catchingly good 4 winners from 9 mounts, 5 placers in that timeframe so I am hopeful of a good showing in this.
2:25 Ayr
SOARING GLORY– 3/4 Pt Win @ 13/2 Bet365, 6/1 generally
HIGHWAY ONE O TWO– 3/4 Pt Win @ 14/1 B.O.G generally
A tough race and I didn’t feel strong on each way so split stakes it is. Soaring glory is a rare raider here for the trainer and in fact he is 1 from 1 when his son rides over hurdles! Soaring Glory is back down to his last winning mark of 143. He needs to leave behind a couple of poor runs but the break could work the oracle. He is a PERFECT 5 from 5 wins returning fresh so I thought worth chancing.
Highway One O Two goes a great clip and I like this ‘target race’ trainer. The booking of Gavin Sheehan, his last winning jockey, looks significant for a big run, with his record for this trainer 2 wins, 3 places from 4 runs at this distance to date!
Add in the fact that Sheehan has ONLY ridden 5 hurdlers here since November 2018 and achieved a stat of 2 from 5, 3 placers, then I thought he too was worthy of a wager.
3:35 Ayr
MALINA GIRL– 3/4 Pt Each way @ 14/1 6 places B.O.G generally
COOPERS CROSS– 1/2 Pt Each way @ 28/1 places B.O.G generally
This has been the plan for Malina Girl who won impressively upped in trip LTO. As we have seen time and time again (Vanillier nearly in the Grand National last Sat) Gavin Cromwell is a master target trainer. He has brought 7 horses here ALL TIME and recorded 3 wins & 5 placers, with a perfect 100% win SR over chases of 2 from 2! He puts this jockey up when he means business in handicap chases with an excellent record of 4 from 8 (50% SR) when doing so. A big run looks in the offing in an ultra competitive race.
Coopers Cross is a smooth traveller, trainer in form so if he sees out the distance, which is the big unknown, he too could run well at a price. He was cantering in last weeks Topham before he came down 4 out so let’s hope that hasn’t left it’s mark?